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Sunderland
16:30
Sun, 25 Oct
Leeds
Who wins?
Before kick-offSunderlandDrawLeeds
Prediction
31%
30%
40%
Compare model and market
Model
31%
30%
40%
- Predicted score
- 1.1 – 1.3
- 3+ goals
- 44%
- Both teams score
- 50%
- Team strength today
- Sunderland: 92%Leeds: 100%
Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.
Team news
Latest headlinesSunderland
- Lech Poznan v Sunderland, Juventus v Rennes, and more: Europa League – liveThe Guardian · 42m ago
- +$(WATCHLIVE!FrEE)NoW* Lech Poznan vs Sunderland football Live Covarage ON TV Channel 22 october 2026北陸地方整備局 · 2h ago
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland LIVE streaming, TV channel, kick-off time & where to watch UEFA Europa League 2026-27Khel Now · 3h ago
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland: Team News and Confirmed LineupsLast Word On Sports · 3h ago
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland Prediction and Betting Tips | October 22nd 2026Sportskeeda · 3h ago
- Lech Poznan vs Sunderland Prediction, Betting Tips, Lineups & Odds | 22 Oct 2026Sportsgambler · 4h ago
Leeds
- Why Stuart Attwell will be 'oblivious' to Premier League fallout ahead of Sunderland vs Leeds UnitedYahoo Sports · 1h ago
- Leeds United predicted line-up at Sunderland as Daniel Farke weighs attacker and midfield callsOneFootball · 3h ago
- Enormous call in new Leeds relegation odds vs Man City and SunderlandYorkshire Evening Post · 3h ago
- Three Leeds players who should be axed vs Sunderland include 0% completion dudYahoo · 3h ago
- CrowdedHouse: Leeds rooftop restaurant partners with Leeds United to give discount to fansYorkshire Post · 3h ago
- Young Leeds United fan takes on Prostate United challenge for her grandadYorkshire Evening Post · 3h ago
Players to watch
Chance to score / assistSunderland
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| E.Le FéeLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.7 games | Steady | 20% | 17% |
| Brobbey75% fitLikely sub · about 1 goal every 2.2 games | Steady | 17% | 2% |
| MukieleLikely starter · about 1 goal every 12 games | Steady | 9% | 6% |
| TutierovLikely starter · about 1 goal every 8.4 games | Steady | 8% | 7% |
| Isidor50% fitLikely sub · about 1 goal every 2.4 games | Steady | 8% | 1% |
| N.AnguloLikely starter · about 1 goal every 7.4 games | Steady | 8% | 5% |
| SadikiLikely starter · about 1 goal every 15 games | Steady | 7% | 5% |
| XhakaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 22 games | Steady | 5% | 14% |
| FofanaLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.3 games | Steady | 4% | 3% |
| HumeLikely starter · about 1 goal every 20 games | Steady | 4% | 4% |
| Meunier75% fitLikely sub · about 1 goal every 15 games | Steady | 3% | 3% |
Leeds
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calvert-LewinLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.1 games | Steady | 35% | 5% |
| StachLikely starter · about 1 goal every 6.5 games | Steady | 13% | 15% |
| OkaforLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.8 games | Steady | 12% | 8% |
| BogleLikely starter · about 1 goal every 7.4 games | Steady | 10% | 9% |
| TanakaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 7.5 games | Steady | 9% | 7% |
| NmechaLikely sub · about 1 goal every 1.9 games | Steady | 7% | 3% |
| JustinLikely starter · about 1 goal every 15 games | Steady | 6% | 8% |
| MuharemovićLikely starter · about 1 goal every 17 games | Steady | 5% | 5% |
| AmpaduLikely starter · about 1 goal every 18 games | Steady | 5% | 9% |
| ElvediLikely starter · about 1 goal every 23 games | Steady | 4% | 8% |
| GudmundssonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 34 games | Steady | 2% | 8% |
Team chemistry
From this season's gamesSunderland
0.4 points a game this season · settled side (1.5 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Ballard + Reinildo0.7 pts/game · 4 games
- Reinildo + Brobbey0.7 pts/game · 4 games
- Ballard + Mukiele0.7 pts/game · 4 games
Most missed when out
- Ballard0.6 with · 0.2 without
- Brobbey0.6 with · 0.2 without
- Mukiele0.6 with · 0.3 without
Leeds
1.4 points a game this season · settled side (0.7 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Bogle + Justin1.4 pts/game · 7 games
- Bogle + Muharemović1.4 pts/game · 7 games
- Bogle + Stach1.4 pts/game · 7 games
Bet builder
Priced by simulationSuggested starting pick
- ✓ Leeds or draw69%
- ✓ Under 3.5 goals78%
- Chance it lands
- 54%
- Fair odds
- 1.87
- 5/6
- Take it at
- 1.96+
Build your own ▾
Result
Goals
Scorers
Assists
Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.1–1.3). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.
Value bets
Priced above fairNo value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.
Form & table
SunderlandLWLLW
20th of 20 · 4 points from 7 games · goal difference -8
- L2-0away at AFC BournemouthEnglish Premier League
- W2-1away at TorreenseUEFA Europa League
- L2-0vs Brighton & Hove AlbionEnglish Premier League
- L5-3away at Manchester CityEnglish Premier League
- W1-0vs AZ AlkmaarUEFA Europa League
LeedsDLDWL
7th of 20 · 10 points from 7 games · goal difference +3
- D1-1vs Manchester UnitedEnglish Premier League
- L2-1away at ArsenalEnglish Premier League
- D0-0vs Crystal PalaceEnglish Premier League
- W4-1vs Newcastle UnitedEnglish Premier League
- L6-3away at ChelseaEnglish Carabao Cup
At Stadium of Light, Sunderland.
Weather at kick-off
10°C · 11% chance of rain · wind 52 km/h
Heavy rain or strong wind tends to make passing harder and can mean fewer goals.
Best odds
Highest price across bookmakersNo prices yet.