Who wins?
Before kick-offCompare model and market
- Predicted score
- 1.5 – 1.2
- 3+ goals
- 50%
- Both teams score
- 54%
- Team strength today
- Bournemouth: 98%Leeds: 100%
Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.
Team news
Latest headlinesNo headlines gathered yet. The research squad collects them during the day.
Players to watch
Chance to score / assistBournemouth
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| EvanilsonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.6 games | Steady | 30% | 11% |
| TavernierLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.9 games | Steady | 25% | 15% |
| RayanLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.8 games | Steady | 18% | 13% |
| ChristieLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.2 games | Steady | 11% | 10% |
| SilvaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 9.3 games | Steady | 10% | 6% |
| KluivertLikely sub · about 1 goal every 4.1 games | Steady | 8% | 4% |
| BrooksLikely sub · about 1 goal every 3.4 games | Steady | 5% | 4% |
| SmithLikely starter · about 1 goal every 19 games | Steady | 5% | 5% |
| AdamsLikely starter · about 1 goal every 19 games | Steady | 4% | 5% |
| CookLikely sub · about 1 goal every 9.3 games | Steady | 4% | 6% |
| TruffertLikely starter · about 1 goal every 34 games | Steady | 3% | 10% |
Leeds
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calvert-LewinLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.1 games | Steady | 32% | 4% |
| StachLikely starter · about 1 goal every 6.5 games | Steady | 12% | 13% |
| OkaforLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.8 games | Steady | 11% | 7% |
| BogleLikely starter · about 1 goal every 7.4 games | Steady | 9% | 8% |
| TanakaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 7.5 games | Steady | 8% | 6% |
| NmechaLikely sub · about 1 goal every 1.9 games | Steady | 7% | 2% |
| JustinLikely starter · about 1 goal every 15 games | Steady | 5% | 7% |
| MuharemovićLikely starter · about 1 goal every 17 games | Steady | 5% | 5% |
| AmpaduLikely starter · about 1 goal every 18 games | Steady | 5% | 8% |
| ElvediLikely starter · about 1 goal every 23 games | Steady | 3% | 7% |
| GudmundssonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 34 games | Steady | 2% | 7% |
Team chemistry
From this season's gamesBournemouth
0.9 points a game this season · settled side (0.7 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Petrović + Adams0.9 pts/game · 5 games
- Hill + Adams0.9 pts/game · 5 games
- Truffert + Adams0.9 pts/game · 5 games
Most missed when out
- Cook1.1 with · 0.7 without
- Adams0.9 with · 0.7 without
- Christie0.9 with · 0.8 without
Leeds
1.4 points a game this season · settled side (0.7 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Bogle + Justin1.4 pts/game · 7 games
- Bogle + Muharemović1.4 pts/game · 7 games
- Bogle + Stach1.4 pts/game · 7 games
Bet builder
Priced by simulationSuggested starting pick
- ✓ Bournemouth or draw71%
- ✓ Over 1.5 goals75%
- Chance it lands
- 54%
- Fair odds
- 1.86
- 5/6
- Take it at
- 1.95+
Build your own ▾
Result
Goals
Scorers
Assists
Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.5–1.2). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.
Value bets
Priced above fairNo value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.
Form & table
Form and table aren’t available for this match yet.
Best odds
Highest price across bookmakersNo prices yet.