Who wins?
Before kick-offCompare model and market
- Predicted score
- 1.4 – 1.2
- 3+ goals
- 49%
- Both teams score
- 55%
- Team strength today
- Brentford: 93%Nott'm Forest: 98%
Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.
Team news
Latest headlinesNo headlines gathered yet. The research squad collects them during the day.
Players to watch
Chance to score / assistBrentford
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| ThiagoLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2 games | Steady | 38% | 9% |
| SchadeLikely starter · about 1 goal every 3.2 games | Steady | 21% | 7% |
| AnthonyLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.7 games | Steady | 15% | 10% |
| Lewis-PotterLikely starter · about 1 goal every 6 games | Steady | 13% | 13% |
| O.DangoLikely sub · about 1 goal every 4.8 games | Steady | 7% | 6% |
| M.SangaréLikely starter · about 1 goal every 8.8 games | Steady | 6% | 10% |
| KayodeLikely starter · about 1 goal every 18 games | Steady | 4% | 8% |
| DamsgaardLikely sub · about 1 goal every 9.9 games | Steady | 4% | 11% |
| AjerLikely starter · about 1 goal every 24 games | Steady | 4% | 6% |
| JensenLikely sub · about 1 goal every 11 games | Steady | 2% | 5% |
| Van den BergLikely sub · about 1 goal every 13 games | Steady | 2% | 1% |
Nott'm Forest
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| DelapLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.5 games | Steady | 27% | 5% |
| Gibbs-WhiteLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4 games | Steady | 15% | 13% |
| NdoyeLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.6 games | Steady | 14% | 10% |
| McAteeLikely starter · about 1 goal every 8.9 games | Steady | 9% | 12% |
| MuñozLikely starter · about 1 goal every 8.2 games | Steady | 9% | 8% |
| SchlagerLikely starter · about 1 goal every 10 games | Steady | 8% | 8% |
| MurilloLikely starter · about 1 goal every 12 games | Steady | 7% | 5% |
| N.WilliamsLikely starter · about 1 goal every 14 games | Steady | 6% | 10% |
| WoodLikely sub · about 1 goal every 2.7 games | Steady | 4% | 1% |
| DiomandeLikely starter · about 1 goal every 22 games | Steady | 3% | 3% |
| DominguezLikely sub · about 1 goal every 9.5 games | Steady | 2% | 2% |
Team chemistry
From this season's gamesBrentford
1.4 points a game this season · rotates a lot (2.2 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Kayode + Schade1.6 pts/game · 5 games
- Kelleher + Schade1.6 pts/game · 6 games
- Lewis-Potter + Schade1.6 pts/game · 6 games
Most missed when out
- Collins1.5 with · 1.3 without
- Schuster1.5 with · 1.3 without
- Damsgaard1.5 with · 1.3 without
Nott'm Forest
0.8 points a game this season · settled side (1.3 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Aina + Schlager1.0 pts/game · 4 games
- Sels + Aina0.9 pts/game · 5 games
- N.Williams + Aina0.9 pts/game · 5 games
Most missed when out
- Aina0.9 with · 0.7 without
- Gibbs-White0.8 with · 0.8 without
- Schlager0.8 with · 0.8 without
Bet builder
Priced by simulationSuggested starting pick
- ✓ Brentford or draw66%
- ✓ Over 1.5 goals75%
- Chance it lands
- 50%
- Fair odds
- 2.00
- evens
- Take it at
- 2.10+
Build your own ▾
Result
Goals
Scorers
Assists
Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.4–1.3). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.
Value bets
Priced above fairNo value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.
Form & table
Form and table aren’t available for this match yet.
Best odds
Highest price across bookmakersNo prices yet.