Who wins?
Before kick-offCompare model and market
- Predicted score
- 1.5 – 1.1
- 3+ goals
- 48%
- Both teams score
- 53%
- Team strength today
- Aston Villa: 98%Fulham: 98%
Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.
Team news
Latest headlinesNo headlines gathered yet. The research squad collects them during the day.
Players to watch
Chance to score / assistAston Villa
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| N.JacksonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 3.1 games | Steady | 31% | 15% |
| BuendíaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.9 games | Steady | 19% | 11% |
| McGinnLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.3 games | Steady | 19% | 13% |
| Manzambi75% fitLikely sub · about 1 goal every 4.2 games | Steady | 13% | 9% |
| MingsLikely starter · about 1 goal every 17 games | Steady | 6% | 3% |
| KamaraLikely starter · about 1 goal every 21 games | Steady | 6% | 8% |
| BarkleyLikely sub · about 1 goal every 7.4 games | Steady | 6% | 5% |
| LindelöfLikely starter · about 1 goal every 22 games | Steady | 6% | 3% |
| MbayeLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.1 games | Steady | 4% | 4% |
| GomesLikely starter · about 1 goal every 20 games | Steady | 4% | 8% |
| AlyssonLikely sub · about 1 goal every 8.7 games | Steady | 4% | 4% |
Fulham
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| GonzaloLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.4 games | Steady | 29% | 8% |
| KingLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.9 games | Steady | 15% | 8% |
| BobbLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.6 games | Steady | 12% | 12% |
| IwobiLikely starter · about 1 goal every 9.8 games | Steady | 8% | 18% |
| CharlesLikely starter · about 1 goal every 11 games | Steady | 7% | 8% |
| CastagneLikely starter · about 1 goal every 12 games | Steady | 5% | 4% |
| BergeLikely starter · about 1 goal every 15 games | Steady | 5% | 5% |
| BasseyLikely starter · about 1 goal every 20 games | Steady | 4% | 2% |
| RobinsonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 20 games | Steady | 3% | 4% |
| PalaciosLikely sub · about 1 goal every 5.2 games | Steady | 3% | 2% |
| AffengruberLikely starter · about 1 goal every 30 games | Steady | 3% | 3% |
Team chemistry
From this season's gamesAston Villa
1.4 points a game this season · rotates a lot (2 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Mings + Lindelöf1.7 pts/game · 4 games
- Mings + Buendía1.7 pts/game · 4 games
- Mings + Kamara1.7 pts/game · 4 games
Most missed when out
- Manzambi1.8 with · 1.1 without
- Mings1.7 with · 1.1 without
- Wan-Bissaka1.6 with · 1.2 without
Fulham
0.7 points a game this season · settled side (1.3 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Leno + Affengruber1.0 pts/game · 4 games
- Robinson + Charles1.0 pts/game · 4 games
- Bassey + Affengruber1.0 pts/game · 4 games
Most missed when out
- Affengruber1.0 with · 0.4 without
- Charles0.9 with · 0.5 without
Bet builder
Priced by simulationSuggested starting pick
- ✓ Aston Villa or draw71%
- ✓ Under 3.5 goals75%
- Chance it lands
- 53%
- Fair odds
- 1.90
- 10/11
- Take it at
- 1.99+
Build your own ▾
Result
Goals
Scorers
Assists
Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.5–1.1). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.
Value bets
Priced above fairNo value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.
Form & table
Form and table aren’t available for this match yet.
Best odds
Highest price across bookmakersNo prices yet.