Who wins?
Before kick-offCompare model and market
- Predicted score
- 1.0 – 1.3
- 3+ goals
- 40%
- Both teams score
- 46%
- Team strength today
- Liverpool: 92%Arsenal: 94%
Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.
Team news
Latest headlinesNo headlines gathered yet. The research squad collects them during the day.
Players to watch
Chance to score / assistLiverpool
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| IsakLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.1 games | Steady | 22% | 4% |
| WirtzLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5 games | Steady | 13% | 12% |
| BarcolaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 6.1 games | Steady | 10% | 8% |
| Mac AllisterLikely starter · about 1 goal every 7.9 games | Steady | 8% | 9% |
| GakpoLikely sub · about 1 goal every 4.9 games | Steady | 6% | 8% |
| Munoz75% fitLikely starter · about 1 goal every 7.2 games | Steady | 6% | 5% |
| VirgilLikely starter · about 1 goal every 16 games | Steady | 5% | 3% |
| JacquetLikely starter · about 1 goal every 22 games | Steady | 3% | 3% |
| KoumasLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.2 games | Steady | 3% | 2% |
| NyoniLikely sub · about 1 goal every 8.2 games | Steady | 3% | 3% |
| KerkezLikely starter · about 1 goal every 28 games | Steady | 2% | 2% |
Arsenal
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| HavertzLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.9 games | Steady | 23% | 6% |
| Saka50% fitLikely sub · about 1 goal every 2.7 games | Steady | 15% | 9% |
| ØdegaardLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.4 games | Steady | 15% | 17% |
| CalafioriLikely starter · about 1 goal every 6.3 games | Steady | 13% | 7% |
| GabrielLikely starter · about 1 goal every 9.5 games | Steady | 9% | 4% |
| RiceLikely starter · about 1 goal every 13 games | Steady | 7% | 15% |
| GyökeresLikely sub · about 1 goal every 2.5 games | Steady | 7% | 2% |
| Bruno G.Likely sub · about 1 goal every 6.4 games | Steady | 6% | 6% |
| MaduekeLikely sub · about 1 goal every 8.2 games | Steady | 4% | 7% |
| MerinoLikely sub · about 1 goal every 4.3 games | Steady | 4% | 2% |
| EzeLikely sub · about 1 goal every 5.6 games | Steady | 4% | 2% |
Team chemistry
From this season's gamesLiverpool
1.7 points a game this season · rotates a lot (2.3 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Szoboszlai + Mac Allister2.1 pts/game · 4 games
- Szoboszlai + Araujo2.1 pts/game · 4 games
- Mac Allister + Isak2.1 pts/game · 4 games
Most missed when out
- Mac Allister1.9 with · 1.5 without
- Araujo1.9 with · 1.5 without
- Gakpo1.9 with · 1.6 without
Arsenal
2.6 points a game this season · settled side (1.3 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Raya + White2.8 pts/game · 6 games
- Gabriel + White2.8 pts/game · 6 games
- Calafiori + White2.8 pts/game · 6 games
Most missed when out
- Lewis-Skelly2.8 with · 2.2 without
Bet builder
Priced by simulationSuggested starting pick
- ✓ Arsenal or draw73%
- ✓ Under 3.5 goals81%
- Chance it lands
- 59%
- Fair odds
- 1.70
- 8/11
- Take it at
- 1.79+
Build your own ▾
Result
Goals
Scorers
Assists
Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.0–1.3). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.
Value bets
Priced above fairNo value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.
Form & table
Form and table aren’t available for this match yet.
Best odds
Highest price across bookmakersNo prices yet.