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Aston Villa
12:30
Sat, 24 Oct
Man City
Who wins?
Before kick-offAston VillaDrawMan City
Prediction
26%
26%
48%
Compare model and market
Model
26%
26%
48%
- Predicted score
- 1.2 – 1.7
- 3+ goals
- 56%
- Both teams score
- 59%
- Team strength today
- Aston Villa: 98%Man City: 95%
Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.
Team news
Latest headlinesAston Villa
- Arsenal contact Tottenham and Aston Villa forward targets after Bukayo Saka injuryFootball FanCast · 2h ago
- Aston Villa Team News vs Man City: Manzambi, Wan-BissakaThe Sports Bank · 3h ago
- Aston Villa vs Man City predictions: 7-1 Bet Builder tip, team news and oddsRacing Post · 3h ago
- Unai Emery exit fears resurface after 'source's' reveal away from Aston VillaYahoo Sports · 4h ago
- 'Unai Villa 2.0 is winning hearts and minds'BBC · 5h ago
- 'Don't Be Surprised' - Aston Villa Team Prediction vs Man City MadeInside Futbol · 6h ago
Man City
- Aston Villa vs Man City predictions: 7-1 Bet Builder tip, team news and oddsRacing Post · 3h ago
- Jason Cundy makes Man City comparison in explosive rant at Man UnitedtalkSPORT · 4h ago
- Man City XI vs Aston Villa: Confirmed team news, predicted lineup and injury latest for Premier LeagueLondon Evening Standard · 4h ago
- Man City’s Appeal Looms Large Over Premier League’s 2026-27 PictureYahoo Sports · 4h ago
- Manchester’s stars unite for Ricky: First names revealed for Game4RickyManchester City FC · 5h ago
- Champions League review: PSG take a hit, Man City’s empty seats and teenage hope for LiverpoolThe Guardian · 5h ago
Players to watch
Chance to score / assistAston Villa
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| N.JacksonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 3.1 games | Steady | 26% | 12% |
| BuendíaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.9 games | Steady | 16% | 9% |
| McGinnLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.3 games | Steady | 16% | 11% |
| Manzambi75% fitLikely sub · about 1 goal every 4.2 games | Steady | 11% | 8% |
| MingsLikely starter · about 1 goal every 17 games | Steady | 5% | 3% |
| KamaraLikely starter · about 1 goal every 21 games | Steady | 5% | 7% |
| BarkleyLikely sub · about 1 goal every 7.4 games | Steady | 5% | 5% |
| LindelöfLikely starter · about 1 goal every 22 games | Steady | 5% | 3% |
| MbayeLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.1 games | Steady | 3% | 3% |
| GomesLikely starter · about 1 goal every 20 games | Steady | 3% | 6% |
| AlyssonLikely sub · about 1 goal every 8.7 games | Steady | 3% | 3% |
Man City
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| HaalandLikely starter · about 1 goal every 1.4 games | Steady | 48% | 10% |
| NdiayeLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.7 games | Steady | 15% | 10% |
| EnzoLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.1 games | Steady | 15% | 13% |
| CherkiLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.3 games | Steady | 12% | 20% |
| FodenLikely sub · about 1 goal every 2.8 games | Steady | 12% | 10% |
| GuéhiLikely starter · about 1 goal every 10 games | ❄️ Off form | 9% | 7% |
| O'Reilly75% fitLikely sub · about 1 goal every 4.8 games | Steady | 6% | 3% |
| GvardiolLikely starter · about 1 goal every 11 games | Steady | 5% | 7% |
| DokuLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.1 games | Steady | 5% | 10% |
| AndersonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 14 games | Steady | 5% | 10% |
| RúbenLikely starter · about 1 goal every 19 games | Steady | 5% | 7% |
Team chemistry
From this season's gamesAston Villa
1.4 points a game this season · rotates a lot (2 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Mings + Lindelöf1.7 pts/game · 4 games
- Mings + Buendía1.7 pts/game · 4 games
- Mings + Kamara1.7 pts/game · 4 games
Most missed when out
- Manzambi1.8 with · 1.1 without
- Mings1.7 with · 1.1 without
- Wan-Bissaka1.6 with · 1.2 without
Man City
2.8 points a game this season · rotates a lot (1.8 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Donnarumma + Guéhi2.9 pts/game · 7 games
- Donnarumma + Rúben2.9 pts/game · 7 games
- Donnarumma + Haaland2.9 pts/game · 7 games
Most missed when out
- Donnarumma2.9 with · 2.7 without
- Guéhi2.9 with · 2.7 without
- Rúben2.9 with · 2.7 without
Bet builder
Priced by simulationSuggested starting pick
- ✓ Man City or draw74%
- ✓ Over 1.5 goals79%
- Chance it lands
- 59%
- Fair odds
- 1.69
- 4/6
- Take it at
- 1.78+
Build your own ▾
Result
Goals
Scorers
Assists
Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.2–1.7). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.
Value bets
Priced above fairNo value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.
Form & table
Aston VillaDWWDW
12th of 20 · 8 points from 7 games · goal difference -4
- W3-1vs Viking FKUEFA Champions League
- W1-0away at Newcastle UnitedEnglish Premier League
- W6-0vs FenerbahceUEFA Champions League
- D2-2vs BrentfordEnglish Premier League
- W3-1away at SevillaClub Friendly
Man CityDWLWW
1st of 20 · 21 points from 7 games · goal difference +12
- W5-1vs AEK AthensUEFA Champions League
- W3-2vs Ipswich TownEnglish Premier League
- L4-2vs Paris Saint-GermainUEFA Champions League
- W3-0away at LiverpoolEnglish Premier League
- W5-3vs SunderlandEnglish Premier League
At Villa Park, Birmingham.
Weather at kick-off
9°C · 98% chance of rain · wind 24 km/h
Heavy rain or strong wind tends to make passing harder and can mean fewer goals.
Best odds
Highest price across bookmakersNo prices yet.