Who wins?
Before kick-offCompare model and market
- Predicted score
- 1.5 – 1.3
- 3+ goals
- 52%
- Both teams score
- 57%
- Team strength today
- Newcastle: 98%Everton: 100%
Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.
Team news
Latest headlinesNo headlines gathered yet. The research squad collects them during the day.
Players to watch
Chance to score / assistNewcastle
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| WissaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.7 games | Steady | 32% | 8% |
| BarnesLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.4 games | Steady | 21% | 15% |
| Fernandez-PardoLikely starter · about 1 goal every 3.6 games | Steady | 19% | 8% |
| WillockLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.9 games | Steady | 11% | 8% |
| J.MurphyLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.7 games | Steady | 6% | 8% |
| ThiawLikely starter · about 1 goal every 16 games | Steady | 6% | 4% |
| BotmanLikely starter · about 1 goal every 18 games | Steady | 6% | 5% |
| L.MileyLikely starter · about 1 goal every 17 games | Steady | 5% | 11% |
| OsulaLikely sub · about 1 goal every 3.2 games | Steady | 4% | 2% |
| HallLikely starter · about 1 goal every 25 games | Steady | 4% | 12% |
| TouréLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.7 games | Steady | 4% | 4% |
Everton
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| BarryLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2 games | Steady | 39% | 3% |
| Dewsbury-HallLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.9 games | Steady | 16% | 14% |
| ArmstrongLikely starter · about 1 goal every 9.8 games | Steady | 9% | 10% |
| JohnsonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.4 games | Steady | 9% | 5% |
| GrealishLikely starter · about 1 goal every 11 games | Steady | 6% | 12% |
| GarnerLikely starter · about 1 goal every 15 games | Steady | 6% | 12% |
| GeorgeLikely sub · about 1 goal every 8.8 games | Steady | 5% | 5% |
| TarkowskiLikely starter · about 1 goal every 24 games | Steady | 4% | 4% |
| BranthwaiteLikely starter · about 1 goal every 25 games | Steady | 4% | 3% |
| RöhlLikely sub · about 1 goal every 11 games | Steady | 4% | 5% |
| KeaneLikely sub · about 1 goal every 17 games | Steady | 1% | 1% |
Team chemistry
From this season's gamesNewcastle
1.4 points a game this season · settled side (1.3 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Thiaw + Willock1.4 pts/game · 5 games
- Botman + Willock1.4 pts/game · 5 games
- Hall + Willock1.4 pts/game · 5 games
Most missed when out
- Elanga1.5 with · 1.3 without
- Willock1.4 with · 1.4 without
Everton
1.8 points a game this season · settled side (1.2 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Pickford + George1.6 pts/game · 4 games
- Tarkowski + George1.6 pts/game · 4 games
- Branthwaite + George1.6 pts/game · 4 games
Bet builder
Priced by simulationSuggested starting pick
- ✓ Newcastle or draw67%
- ✓ Over 1.5 goals76%
- Chance it lands
- 52%
- Fair odds
- 1.94
- 10/11
- Take it at
- 2.03+
Build your own ▾
Result
Goals
Scorers
Assists
Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.5–1.3). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.
Value bets
Priced above fairNo value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.
Form & table
Form and table aren’t available for this match yet.
Best odds
Highest price across bookmakersNo prices yet.