Who wins?
Before kick-offCompare model and market
- Predicted score
- 1.6 – 0.7
- 3+ goals
- 41%
- Both teams score
- 40%
- Team strength today
- Arsenal: 94%Everton: 100%
Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.
Team news
Latest headlinesArsenal
- Why Bukayo Saka’s injury shows Arsenal must attack the winter windowVAVEL.com · 2h ago
- How will Arsenal cope without injured Bukayo Saka? Noni Madueke and Max Dowman in frame for more minutesSky Sports · 2h ago
- Lotte Wubben-Moy: Arsenal through and through | Arsenal FC Official WebsiteArsenal.com · 2h ago
- Official | PSG, Chelsea and Arsenal target Laciné Megnan-Pavé extends Montpellier contractGet French Football News · 2h ago
- Football Pink, Big Match, Bayern Munich 2, Arsenal 2, Highlights, Stats, Player Ratings, Man of The Match and Moresoccervoice · 3h ago
- Bruno Guimaraes hails 'unbelievable' Arsenal team-mate who starred in Bayern Munich clashDaily Mirror · 3h ago
Everton
- Keith Hackett: Why Premier League should have stayed quiet about Everton and Brennan Johnson incidentGoodison News · 2h ago
- Away Fan Guide: ArsenalEverton FC · 3h ago
- The Friedkins handed fresh reality check as Christian Purslow highlights Everton problemGoodison News · 3h ago
- Abde Ezzalzouli: Everton will regret £37m transfer failure, the in-depth data is tellingFootball Insider · 4h ago
- Ticket News: Tottenham Hotspur Women v EvertonEverton FC · 5h ago
- Everton supporters split on pitchside alcohol at Hill Dickinson Stadium after Andy Burnham claimLiverpool Echo · 5h ago
Players to watch
Chance to score / assistArsenal
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| HavertzLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.9 games | Steady | 28% | 8% |
| Saka50% fitLikely sub · about 1 goal every 2.7 games | Steady | 18% | 11% |
| ØdegaardLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.4 games | Steady | 18% | 20% |
| CalafioriLikely starter · about 1 goal every 6.3 games | Steady | 16% | 9% |
| GabrielLikely starter · about 1 goal every 9.5 games | Steady | 11% | 5% |
| RiceLikely starter · about 1 goal every 13 games | Steady | 8% | 18% |
| GyökeresLikely sub · about 1 goal every 2.5 games | Steady | 8% | 3% |
| Bruno G.Likely sub · about 1 goal every 6.4 games | Steady | 8% | 7% |
| MaduekeLikely sub · about 1 goal every 8.2 games | Steady | 5% | 8% |
| MerinoLikely sub · about 1 goal every 4.3 games | Steady | 5% | 3% |
| EzeLikely sub · about 1 goal every 5.6 games | Steady | 5% | 3% |
Everton
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| BarryLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2 games | Steady | 23% | 2% |
| Dewsbury-HallLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.9 games | Steady | 9% | 8% |
| ArmstrongLikely starter · about 1 goal every 9.8 games | Steady | 5% | 5% |
| JohnsonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.4 games | Steady | 5% | 3% |
| GrealishLikely starter · about 1 goal every 11 games | Steady | 3% | 7% |
| GarnerLikely starter · about 1 goal every 15 games | Steady | 3% | 6% |
| GeorgeLikely sub · about 1 goal every 8.8 games | Steady | 3% | 3% |
| TarkowskiLikely starter · about 1 goal every 24 games | Steady | 2% | 2% |
| BranthwaiteLikely starter · about 1 goal every 25 games | Steady | 2% | 2% |
| RöhlLikely sub · about 1 goal every 11 games | Steady | 2% | 2% |
| KeaneLikely sub · about 1 goal every 17 games | Steady | 1% | 0% |
Team chemistry
From this season's gamesArsenal
2.6 points a game this season · settled side (1.3 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Raya + White2.8 pts/game · 6 games
- Gabriel + White2.8 pts/game · 6 games
- Calafiori + White2.8 pts/game · 6 games
Most missed when out
- Lewis-Skelly2.8 with · 2.2 without
Everton
1.8 points a game this season · settled side (1.2 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Pickford + George1.6 pts/game · 4 games
- Tarkowski + George1.6 pts/game · 4 games
- Branthwaite + George1.6 pts/game · 4 games
Bet builder
Priced by simulationSuggested starting pick
- ✓ Arsenal to win60%
- ✓ Under 3.5 goals81%
- Chance it lands
- 46%
- Fair odds
- 2.17
- 6/5
- Take it at
- 2.28+
Multiplying the legs would say 49%; they’re pulling against each other, so the real chance is 46%.
Build your own ▾
Result
Goals
Scorers
Assists
Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.6–0.7). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.
Value bets
Priced above fairNo value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.
Form & table
2nd of 20 · 18 points from 7 games · goal difference +6
- D2-2away at Bayern MunichUEFA Champions League
- W1-0away at Nottingham ForestEnglish Premier League
- W3-0vs LilleUEFA Champions League
- W2-1vs Leeds UnitedEnglish Premier League
- L3-0away at Brighton & Hove AlbionEnglish Premier League
8th of 20 · 10 points from 7 games · goal difference +1
- L2-0vs ChelseaEnglish Premier League
- D2-2away at Hull CityEnglish Premier League
- W1-0vs Ipswich TownEnglish Premier League
- W1-0vs Wolverhampton WanderersEnglish Carabao Cup
- D0-0away at Tottenham HotspurEnglish Premier League
At Emirates Stadium, London.
Weather at kick-off
12°C · 100% chance of rain · wind 21 km/h
Heavy rain or strong wind tends to make passing harder and can mean fewer goals.
Best odds
Highest price across bookmakersNo prices yet.