Gaffer
AI Squad
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Chelsea
17:30
Sat, 24 Oct
Tottenham

Who wins?

Before kick-off
ChelseaDrawTottenham
Prediction
Compare model and market
Model
Predicted score
1.8 – 1.0
3+ goals
53%
Both teams score
55%
Team strength today
Chelsea: 99%Tottenham: 90%

Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.

Team news

Latest headlines

Players to watch

Chance to score / assist

Chelsea

PlayerFormScoresAssists
João PedroLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.1 gamesSteady36%8%
PalmerLikely starter · about 1 goal every 3.5 gamesSteady30%17%
RogersLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.6 games❄️ Off form23%19%
NetoLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.7 gamesSteady18%22%
WelbeckLikely sub · about 1 goal every 2.6 gamesSteady8%2%
LacroixLikely starter · about 1 goal every 15 gamesSteady7%4%
HendersonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 13 gamesSteady6%12%
LaviaLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.5 gamesSteady5%5%
CaicedoLikely sub · about 1 goal every 16 gamesSteady4%5%
BarcoLikely sub · about 1 goal every 8.5 gamesSteady3%4%
ColwillLikely starter · about 1 goal every 42 gamesSteady3%4%

Tottenham

PlayerFormScoresAssists
SolankeLikely starter · about 1 goal every 3.1 gamesSteady22%4%
Marmoush75% fitLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.2 gamesSteady14%5%
Van HeckeLikely starter · about 1 goal every 12 gamesSteady9%7%
KudusLikely starter · about 1 goal every 8 gamesSteady8%10%
Van de VenLikely starter · about 1 goal every 11 gamesSteady7%2%
GrayLikely starter · about 1 goal every 11 gamesSteady7%6%
TonaliLikely starter · about 1 goal every 15 gamesSteady7%15%
GallagherLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.1 gamesSteady6%3%
MaddisonLikely sub · about 1 goal every 8 gamesSteady4%4%
FernandesLikely sub · about 1 goal every 12 gamesSteady3%4%
TelLikely sub · about 1 goal every 7.3 gamesSteady3%3%

Team chemistry

From this season's games

Chelsea

1.6 points a game this season · rotates a lot (2.7 changes a game)

Best partnerships

  • Colwill + João Pedro2.2 pts/game · 5 games
  • Hato + Colwill2.1 pts/game · 4 games
  • João Pedro + Lacroix2.1 pts/game · 5 games

Most missed when out

  • Colwill1.9 with · 1.1 without
  • João Pedro1.9 with · 1.1 without
  • Acheampong1.9 with · 1.3 without

Tottenham

1.5 points a game this season · rotates a lot (4 changes a game)

Best partnerships

  • Van Hecke + Solanke1.4 pts/game · 4 games
  • Tonali + Solanke1.4 pts/game · 4 games
  • Kinsky + Solanke1.4 pts/game · 4 games

Bet builder

Priced by simulation

Suggested starting pick

  • ✓ Chelsea or draw77%
  • ✓ Under 3.5 goals69%
Chance it lands
52%
Fair odds
1.91
10/11
Take it at
2.00+

Multiplying the legs would say 53%; they’re pulling against each other, so the real chance is 52%.

Build your own ▾

Result

Goals

Scorers

Assists

Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.8–1.1). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.

Value bets

Priced above fair

No value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.

Form & table

ChelseaWWLDW

4th of 20 · 13 points from 7 games · goal difference +4

  • W2-0away at EvertonEnglish Premier League
  • W5-1vs AFC BournemouthEnglish Premier League
  • L3-0away at BrentfordEnglish Premier League
  • D2-2vs Hull CityEnglish Premier League
  • W6-3vs Leeds UnitedEnglish Carabao Cup
TottenhamDDLLD

16th of 20 · 6 points from 7 games · goal difference -4

  • W3-1vs Coventry CityEnglish Premier League
  • D1-1away at Manchester UnitedEnglish Premier League
  • L3-2vs Aston VillaEnglish Premier League
  • L3-1away at LiverpoolEnglish Carabao Cup
  • D0-0vs EvertonEnglish Premier League

At Stamford Bridge, London.

Weather at kick-off

13°C · 100% chance of rain · wind 30 km/h

Heavy rain or strong wind tends to make passing harder and can mean fewer goals.

Best odds

Highest price across bookmakers

No prices yet.