Gaffer
AI Squad
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Crystal Palace
14:00
Sun, 25 Oct
Newcastle

Who wins?

Before kick-off
Crystal PalaceDrawNewcastle
Prediction
Compare model and market
Model
Predicted score
1.5 – 1.5
3+ goals
58%
Both teams score
61%
Team strength today
Crystal Palace: 98%Newcastle: 98%

Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.

Team news

Latest headlines

Players to watch

Chance to score / assist

Crystal Palace

PlayerFormScoresAssists
Strand LarsenLikely starter · about 1 goal every 3.7 gamesSteady24%8%
YeremyLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.6 gamesSteady17%17%
KamadaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 9 gamesSteady13%12%
KhalailiLikely starter · about 1 goal every 9.5 gamesSteady13%8%
NketiahLikely sub · about 1 goal every 2.9 gamesSteady10%4%
LermaLikely sub · about 1 goal every 5.3 gamesSteady9%4%
Timber75% fitLikely starter · about 1 goal every 8.6 gamesSteady9%7%
MitchellLikely starter · about 1 goal every 14 gamesSteady8%6%
WhartonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 19 gamesSteady7%22%
MatetaLikely sub · about 1 goal every 1.7 gamesSteady7%1%
RichardsLikely starter · about 1 goal every 22 gamesSteady6%4%

Newcastle

PlayerFormScoresAssists
WissaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.7 gamesSteady32%8%
BarnesLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.4 gamesSteady21%15%
Fernandez-PardoLikely starter · about 1 goal every 3.6 gamesSteady19%8%
WillockLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.9 gamesSteady11%8%
J.MurphyLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.7 gamesSteady6%8%
ThiawLikely starter · about 1 goal every 16 gamesSteady6%4%
BotmanLikely starter · about 1 goal every 18 gamesSteady6%5%
L.MileyLikely starter · about 1 goal every 17 gamesSteady5%12%
OsulaLikely sub · about 1 goal every 3.2 gamesSteady4%2%
HallLikely starter · about 1 goal every 25 gamesSteady4%12%
TouréLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.7 gamesSteady4%4%

Team chemistry

From this season's games

Crystal Palace

1.3 points a game this season · rotates a lot (2.2 changes a game)

Best partnerships

  • Canvot + Timber1.5 pts/game · 4 games
  • Richards + Timber1.3 pts/game · 5 games
  • Mitchell + Timber1.3 pts/game · 5 games

Most missed when out

  • Timber1.3 with · 1.1 without

Newcastle

1.4 points a game this season · settled side (1.3 changes a game)

Best partnerships

  • Thiaw + Willock1.4 pts/game · 5 games
  • Botman + Willock1.4 pts/game · 5 games
  • Hall + Willock1.4 pts/game · 5 games

Most missed when out

  • Elanga1.5 with · 1.3 without
  • Willock1.4 with · 1.4 without

Bet builder

Priced by simulation

Suggested starting pick

  • ✓ Newcastle or draw63%
  • ✓ Over 1.5 goals81%
Chance it lands
50%
Fair odds
1.98
evens
Take it at
2.08+
Build your own ▾

Result

Goals

Scorers

Assists

Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.5–1.5). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.

Value bets

Priced above fair

No value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.

Form & table

Crystal PalaceDLWDW

14th of 20 · 7 points from 7 games · goal difference -8

  • L5-0away at Brighton & Hove AlbionEnglish Premier League
  • L3-2away at LyonUEFA Europa League
  • W3-1vs Nottingham ForestEnglish Premier League
  • L2-0vs Bristol CityClub Friendly
  • D0-0away at Leeds UnitedEnglish Premier League
NewcastleDLWLW

11th of 20 · 8 points from 7 games · goal difference -4

  • L1-0vs Aston VillaEnglish Premier League
  • L4-1away at Coventry CityEnglish Premier League
  • W2-1vs Hull CityEnglish Premier League
  • L4-1away at Leeds UnitedEnglish Premier League
  • W1-0away at MillwallEnglish Carabao Cup

At Selhurst Park, London.

Weather at kick-off

13°C · 1% chance of rain · wind 32 km/h

Heavy rain or strong wind tends to make passing harder and can mean fewer goals.

Best odds

Highest price across bookmakers

No prices yet.