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Liverpool
14:00
Sun, 25 Oct
Brighton
Who wins?
Before kick-offLiverpoolDrawBrighton
Prediction
37%
27%
36%
Compare model and market
Model
37%
27%
36%
- Predicted score
- 1.5 – 1.4
- 3+ goals
- 55%
- Both teams score
- 60%
- Team strength today
- Liverpool: 92%Brighton: 98%
Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.
Team news
Latest headlinesLiverpool
- Liverpool facing Bayern Munich competition for targetLiverpool FC · 1h ago
- Transfer news LIVE: Galatasaray consider Ayari move, Liverpool join the race to sign Mexico starTransfermarkt · 1h ago
- Liverpool set for key Ifeanyi Ndukwe meeting – Latest LFC NewsThis Is Anfield · 2h ago
- Bradley Barcola gives Andoni Iraola fitness concern as Victor Munoz misses Liverpool trainingYahoo · 4h ago
- Bid now: Exclusive matchday experiences as LFC and Standard Chartered celebrate 'Play On'Liverpool FC · 4h ago
- Liverpool FC - Brighton & Hove Albion prediction & tips 25.10.2026Transfermarkt · 5h ago
Brighton
- !+>[LIVESTREAms] Jablonec vs Brighton football 𝐋𝐈𝐕𝐄 Ｆｒｅｅ Ｓｔｒｅａｍｓ ＯＮ Ｔｖ Ｃｈａｎｎｅｌ 22 october 2026北陸地方整備局 · 1h ago
- Hinshelwood stings Jablonec keeper's palms with early sighterTNT Sports · 1h ago
- [WATCHLIVE]ＴＯＤＡＹ!] Jablonec vs Brighton football LIVE STREAM Free REDDIT北陸地方整備局 · 2h ago
- [ＬＩＶＥＳＴＲＥＡＭs]𝐓𝐕!! Brighton vs Jablonec football 𝙻𝚒𝚟𝚎 𝚂𝚝𝚛𝚎𝚊𝚖𝚒𝚗𝚐 𝙾𝚗𝚕𝚒𝚗𝚎北陸地方整備局 · 2h ago
- [YouTube/LIVE] Brighton vs Jablonec football Match Live free stream 22 october 2026北陸地方整備局 · 2h ago
- +)HERE'S!!(* WAY TO WATCH Jablonec vs Brighton football 𝐋𝐈𝐕𝐄 ＯＮ Ｔｖ Ｃｈａｎｎｅｌ 22 october 2026北陸地方整備局 · 2h ago
Players to watch
Chance to score / assistLiverpool
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| IsakLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.1 games | Steady | 32% | 6% |
| WirtzLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5 games | Steady | 19% | 18% |
| BarcolaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 6.1 games | Steady | 15% | 13% |
| Mac AllisterLikely starter · about 1 goal every 7.9 games | Steady | 13% | 13% |
| GakpoLikely sub · about 1 goal every 4.9 games | Steady | 9% | 12% |
| Munoz75% fitLikely starter · about 1 goal every 7.2 games | Steady | 9% | 8% |
| VirgilLikely starter · about 1 goal every 16 games | Steady | 7% | 4% |
| JacquetLikely starter · about 1 goal every 22 games | Steady | 5% | 5% |
| KoumasLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.2 games | Steady | 4% | 4% |
| NyoniLikely sub · about 1 goal every 8.2 games | Steady | 4% | 5% |
| KerkezLikely starter · about 1 goal every 28 games | Steady | 4% | 3% |
Brighton
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| KostoulasLikely starter · about 1 goal every 3 games | Steady | 24% | 6% |
| GroßLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.2 games | Steady | 17% | 18% |
| GomezLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.4 games | ❄️ Off form | 17% | 10% |
| AyariLikely starter · about 1 goal every 6.2 games | Steady | 13% | 6% |
| De CuyperLikely starter · about 1 goal every 6.8 games | ❄️ Off form | 13% | 16% |
| AndrésLikely starter · about 1 goal every 7.4 games | Steady | 10% | 9% |
| VuskovicLikely starter · about 1 goal every 10 games | Steady | 9% | 4% |
| YalcouyéLikely sub · about 1 goal every 4.6 games | Steady | 8% | 6% |
| F.KadıoğluLikely starter · about 1 goal every 24 games | Steady | 4% | 6% |
| HinshelwoodLikely sub · about 1 goal every 2.1 games | Steady | 3% | 1% |
| BoscagliLikely starter · about 1 goal every 37 games | Steady | 2% | 8% |
Team chemistry
From this season's gamesLiverpool
1.7 points a game this season · rotates a lot (2.3 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Szoboszlai + Mac Allister2.1 pts/game · 4 games
- Szoboszlai + Araujo2.1 pts/game · 4 games
- Mac Allister + Isak2.1 pts/game · 4 games
Most missed when out
- Mac Allister1.9 with · 1.5 without
- Araujo1.9 with · 1.5 without
- Gakpo1.9 with · 1.6 without
Brighton
2.3 points a game this season · settled side (1.2 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Verbruggen + Ayari2.5 pts/game · 6 games
- Boscagli + Ayari2.5 pts/game · 6 games
- De Cuyper + Ayari2.5 pts/game · 6 games
Most missed when out
- Andrés2.6 with · 2.0 without
Bet builder
Priced by simulationSuggested starting pick
- ✓ Liverpool or draw63%
- ✓ Over 1.5 goals78%
- Chance it lands
- 50%
- Fair odds
- 2.01
- evens
- Take it at
- 2.11+
Build your own ▾
Result
Goals
Scorers
Assists
Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.5–1.4). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.
Value bets
Priced above fairNo value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.
Form & table
LiverpoolDWWLW
5th of 20 · 12 points from 7 games · goal difference +1
- W4-3vs VillarrealUEFA Champions League
- W2-1away at BrentfordEnglish Premier League
- W6-3away at LASK LinzUEFA Champions League
- L3-0vs Manchester CityEnglish Premier League
- W1-0away at AFC BournemouthEnglish Premier League
BrightonDWWWW
3rd of 20 · 16 points from 7 games · goal difference +18
- W5-0vs Crystal PalaceEnglish Premier League
- W4-0vs Kauno ZalgirisUEFA Conference League
- W2-0away at SunderlandEnglish Premier League
- W3-0vs ArsenalEnglish Premier League
- W3-2away at Manchester UnitedEnglish Carabao Cup
At Anfield, Liverpool.
Weather at kick-off
10°C · 84% chance of rain · wind 44 km/h
Heavy rain or strong wind tends to make passing harder and can mean fewer goals.
Best odds
Highest price across bookmakersNo prices yet.