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Man United
14:00
Sun, 25 Oct
Bournemouth
Who wins?
Before kick-offMan UnitedDrawBournemouth
Prediction
44%
26%
30%
Compare model and market
Model
44%
26%
30%
- Predicted score
- 1.6 – 1.3
- 3+ goals
- 56%
- Both teams score
- 59%
- Team strength today
- Man United: 94%Bournemouth: 98%
Green marks the team with the higher win chance in each row. The prediction uses market prices where available. Team strength is an estimated lineup adjustment; 100% means no estimated reduction. No bookmaker prices yet, so this is our model alone.
Team news
Latest headlinesMan United
- Man United make Bruno Fernandes punishment decision after bombshell Como interviewManchester Evening News · 2h ago
- Bruno Fernandes' £4m home robbed by masked gang while he was away at Man United Champions League clashtalkSPORT · 2h ago
- Man United's worst league starts ever: How does 2026-27 compare?ESPN · 2h ago
- Fernandes to stay captain as Rooney calls Man Utd players babiesBBC Sport · 2h ago
- Man United have had European humiliations before. This one felt particularly awfulThe New York Times · 2h ago
- Ole Gunnar Solskjaer knew Man United would sack him before Michael Carrick gestureManchester Evening News · 2h ago
Bournemouth
- (IN DIRETTA!) Milan-Bournemouth In Diretta Gratis北陸地方整備局 · 41m ago
- ~【LIVESTREAM】 Bournemouth vs Milan 𝙻𝙸𝚅𝙴 𝐒𝐓𝐑𝐄𝐀𝐌北陸地方整備局 · 41m ago
- [LIVE#Free!] Bournemouth vs Milan Live online Free北陸地方整備局 · 41m ago
- Bournemouth vs. AC Milan: Europa League MD3 official line-upsFootball Italia · 44m ago
- ~[TOTAL SPORTEK]^^ Soccer Ｓｔｒｅａｍｓ AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan Ｌｉｖｅ Totalsportek Football Ｓｔｒｅａｍｓ北陸地方整備局 · 54m ago
- [EURO FOOTBALL LIVE] AFC Bournemouth vs AC Milan Today , The UEFA Europa League!!北陸地方整備局 · 54m ago
Players to watch
Chance to score / assistMan United
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| MbeumoLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.4 games | ❄️ Off form | 40% | 16% |
| B.FernandesLikely starter · about 1 goal every 3.5 games | ❄️ Off form | 30% | 26% |
| CunhaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.4 games | Steady | 15% | 12% |
| TielemansLikely starter · about 1 goal every 11 games | Steady | 9% | 16% |
| AmadLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.1 games | Steady | 8% | 7% |
| Rashford75% fitLikely sub · about 1 goal every 6.4 games | Steady | 6% | 5% |
| MaguireLikely starter · about 1 goal every 20 games | Steady | 6% | 5% |
| DalotLikely starter · about 1 goal every 20 games | Steady | 5% | 7% |
| ZirkzeeLikely sub · about 1 goal every 3.1 games | Steady | 4% | 1% |
| Andrey SantosLikely sub · about 1 goal every 9 games | Steady | 4% | 3% |
| BalebaLikely sub · about 1 goal every 14 games | Steady | 3% | 2% |
Bournemouth
| Player | Form | Scores | Assists |
|---|---|---|---|
| EvanilsonLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.6 games | Steady | 27% | 10% |
| TavernierLikely starter · about 1 goal every 2.9 games | Steady | 22% | 13% |
| RayanLikely starter · about 1 goal every 4.8 games | Steady | 16% | 12% |
| ChristieLikely starter · about 1 goal every 5.2 games | Steady | 10% | 9% |
| SilvaLikely starter · about 1 goal every 9.3 games | Steady | 9% | 5% |
| KluivertLikely sub · about 1 goal every 4.1 games | Steady | 7% | 4% |
| BrooksLikely sub · about 1 goal every 3.4 games | Steady | 4% | 4% |
| SmithLikely starter · about 1 goal every 19 games | Steady | 4% | 5% |
| AdamsLikely starter · about 1 goal every 19 games | Steady | 4% | 4% |
| CookLikely sub · about 1 goal every 9.3 games | Steady | 3% | 5% |
| TruffertLikely starter · about 1 goal every 34 games | Steady | 2% | 9% |
Team chemistry
From this season's gamesMan United
1.3 points a game this season · rotates a lot (1.8 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Martinez + Shaw1.4 pts/game · 4 games
- Shaw + Mainoo1.4 pts/game · 4 games
- Tielemans + Rashford1.3 pts/game · 4 games
Bournemouth
0.9 points a game this season · settled side (0.7 changes a game)
Best partnerships
- Petrović + Adams0.9 pts/game · 5 games
- Hill + Adams0.9 pts/game · 5 games
- Truffert + Adams0.9 pts/game · 5 games
Most missed when out
- Cook1.1 with · 0.7 without
- Adams0.9 with · 0.7 without
- Christie0.9 with · 0.8 without
Bet builder
Priced by simulationSuggested starting pick
- ✓ Man United or draw69%
- ✓ Over 1.5 goals79%
- Chance it lands
- 55%
- Fair odds
- 1.81
- 4/5
- Take it at
- 1.90+
Build your own ▾
Result
Goals
Scorers
Assists
Priced from 20,000 simulated matches using our probabilities (predicted goals 1.6–1.3). Bookmakers usually build in a big margin on bet builders, so only take one at or above the “take it at” price. Not backtested. 18+, bet responsibly.
Value bets
Priced above fairNo value bets right now. Bookmakers price most matches well, and no bet is better than a bad one.
Form & table
Man UnitedDDLDD
13th of 20 · 7 points from 7 games · goal difference 0
- L4-1away at ComoUEFA Champions League
- D1-1away at Leeds UnitedEnglish Premier League
- L2-0away at Atlético MadridUEFA Champions League
- D1-1vs Tottenham HotspurEnglish Premier League
- D1-1away at FulhamEnglish Premier League
BournemouthDWLLW
15th of 20 · 6 points from 7 games · goal difference -4
- W2-0vs SunderlandEnglish Premier League
- W3-0vs SK Sturm GrazUEFA Europa League
- L5-1away at ChelseaEnglish Premier League
- L1-0vs LiverpoolEnglish Premier League
- W2-1away at Real SociedadUEFA Europa League
At Old Trafford, Manchester.
Weather at kick-off
10°C · 93% chance of rain · wind 31 km/h
Heavy rain or strong wind tends to make passing harder and can mean fewer goals.
Best odds
Highest price across bookmakersNo prices yet.